Notes from CIL2006: Friday Afternoon
The Exploding Future and the Value of ForesightBrian Pomeroy, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia
What is exploded future?
Disruptive, Distributed, Diverse
DisruptiveSustaining technology (steady, linear improvement) vs. Disruptive Technology (unique functionality that serves an unmet need, stable performance, reasonable cost)
(Clayton Christensen The Innovator’s Dilemma (Harper Business, 1997))
Distributed Hierarchical vs. Distributed Media
Smart Mobs, citizen journalists, social networks, resource sharing, anytime anywhere media, mashups and web services
UGH more on the “long tail” – yeah, we technically have easier access to the long tail, but information silts up in these patterns (Bradford, Zipf, Pareto… etc) regardless. I’ll take comments on this, I want someone to tell me or show me proof how this increased access through search or tagging actually does change usage – have Amazon sales changed? Have library circs or usages changed? I’ll argue that the long tail did not develop through lack of access but other social forces.
The Web 2.0 Challenge to LibrariesPaul Miller, Talis
Libraries – trusted by bypassed online
Reaching out from the library
Library 2.0 platform
Shared innovation
{very nice slides}
How do people find stuff? Google
How else do people find stuff? More google, access in different ways
OCLC and UK reports: Understanding the audience and Perceptions…
Library usage down as measured by active borrowers, but people come in to the libraries
96% of the people OCLC asked have been to a library some time in their life. From the UK studies, visits to library premises are a J curve! Visits/borrower also up.
MORI study – where do people access the internet (UK audience) 80% at home, 21% at library. Other places you can go online if you want to but don’t personally use library is 46%. Elsewhere, 25% of people who do not go online do have the ability to do it at home and choose not to.
Other study – 89% population surveyed (UK audience) trust libraries
27% of the population had visited library web sites
The competition
http://flickr.com/photos/stabilo-boss (they say they are relevant, innovative, cool, nimble, participative, small pieces – loosely coupled, user centric responsive)
We can do it, too, better. (see his white paper in our package)
Q from the audience (what’s disaggregating the library system)
A the ability to take the black box you get from the vendor and pick and choose pieces/modules and adding bits -- the library system should be like legos but you can build the model you want, not just reproduce the picture on the box.
Library 2.0
Examples:
The wordpress opac
The amazon linky greasemonkey script
Some of the superpatron stuff
“Making the data work harder doesn’t always have to be for a worthy cause… it can be to make people feel engaged.”
Share a platform, nurture a community
The notion of platform
- Shared base on which to build, with a common language, start building from that instead of building from scratch every time
- Lower barrier to entry
- Evolutionary path
- For recommender systems, aggregate across – we have more data than amazon and can make better recommendations if we build systems that talk and cross vendor divides
- Increase the visibility of libraries by doing big projects
We all need to insist our vendors build platforms that allow these projects
The platforms
- Consistent exposure of data
- Consistent access of data
- Consistent access/exposure of functions
- Shared components
- Shared experiences
- Open
- Collaborative
- Based on standards
- At the node (in the library, platforms at multiple levels for access at those levels)
Making use of the platform
- Finding all of the libraries that have the books, all the places that have the books and giving the customers choices where to get the materials (see in previous talk CSSM’s demo project with see what’s available now, in 2 days, in 5-10 days)
- Research.talis.com/2005/whisper – proof of concept (seems like similar features to some Dempsey showed the other day in his session that it starts searching on letters as they are typed)
- Redlightgreen
- Pull library information out to portals
- Mashup with library information and map (now this would be nice) – look up a book and it shows you physically where the libraries are that have the books
- Widget to search using a desktop tool to search the catalog (like Amazon – people search with the intent to buy)
Working together – shared innovations
http://tdn.talis.com , creative commons license
His final thoughts: the library deserves to reach beyond its walls, vendor and library silos don’t make sense, share innovation… and a big ad for the company, but overall acceptable.
Project CroquetMarshall Breeding, Vanderbilt
(open croquet)
Croquet is completely built on collaboration, multi-user, real-time
Architects are the biggies (Alan Kay, Julian Lombardi, etc)
{played a presentation by Lombardi}
User interfaces are basically the same as print documents, as they have been since the first Apple window type environment and we’re locked in. We still think about documents. Metaphors of windows, documents – from PARC, Alan Kay in part – is what we have. We don’t need to be tied to the document metaphor anymore – it makes sense in the real world but not given what we can do with computers. Courseware is using the metaphor of the book – but the most important thing about learning is not the textbook, it’s about the interaction and the learning.
Web as a metamedium as an integration of multiple channels not at the code level but at the user level. P2P technology, supports the delivery of a massively multiple user environment (did I get that right?). Cirque de Croquet? No game server, replication of computation across machines., shared p2p, virtual reality system. (it’s really kind of like the Simpsons when Homer got sucked into virtual space)
Co-browsing w/no central server, independent of operating system. Some of this really looks less impressive than some video games, and some other systems like some online games like wow and others (not a participant, but it’s been demonstrated for me). We’re not really sure how a floating spreadsheet would really help. I’m a little skeptical, as usual, but I’ll probably eat my words, as usual.
CIL2006